BTC Price Prediction: Navigating the Path to $90,000 and Beyond

#BTC

• Critical Technical Inflection Point: Bitcoin's price is testing major support near the $87.2K lower Bollinger Band while trading below the key 20-day Moving Average at $92.2K. The market's next directional move hinges on which of these levels breaks first.
• Divergent Market Sentiment: Strong long-term bullish fundamentals (institutional adoption, supercycle predictions) are currently offset by short-term caution (price dips, sell-off speculation). This creates a 'wait-and-see' environment needing a catalyst.
• Path to $90K and Beyond: Reaching and sustaining above $90,000 requires first conquering the $92.2K MA resistance. This would signal a renewal of bullish momentum, potentially fueled by a bounce from current support and a positive shift in near-term news flow.

BTC Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: BTC at Critical Juncture Below Key Moving Average

As of January 25, 2026, bitcoin is trading at, positioned below its 20-day moving average of 92,243.79. This places the price near the lower Bollinger Band (87,242.87), suggesting potential oversold conditions or a test of support. The MACD indicator shows a negative histogram value of -612.69, with the MACD line (-1,476.47) below the signal line, indicating bearish momentum in the short term. However, the narrowing gap between the lines could hint at slowing downward pressure.

"The price action below the 20-day MA and the middle Bollinger Band typically signals near-term bearish control," says Michael, a financial analyst at BTCC. "The key watchpoint is whether the lower band at ~$87.2K holds as support. A bounce from here, coupled with a potential MACD convergence, could set the stage for a retest of the $92.2K MA level."

Market Sentiment: A Mix of Long-Term Optimism and Short-Term Caution

Current headlines reflect a bifurcated sentiment landscape. Positive catalysts include analyst upgrades for crypto-linked stocks like TeraWulf, Binance founder CZ's prediction of a Bitcoin 'supercycle' by 2026, and MicroStrategy's monumental 1,202% return on its BTC bet. These underscore strong foundational belief in the asset's long-term value.

Conversely, immediate pressures are evident. News of Bitcoin dipping below $90K, underperforming in a broad market rally, and speculative sell-off fears from GameStop's wallet movement to Coinbase inject near-term caution. "The narrative is classic crypto," observes Michael. "Macro, long-term bullish thesis remains intact, driven by institutional adoption and policy shifts. But short-term price discovery is being weighed down by profit-taking and risk-off moves in a heated market. Sentiment is cautiously optimistic but waiting for a clear catalyst to challenge the $100K level."

Factors Influencing BTC’s Price

Bitcoin Price Prediction: What Needs to Happen for BTC to Push Toward $100K

Bitcoin remains trapped in a tight trading range, with analysts noting persistent resistance between $91,000 and $95,500. The cryptocurrency has repeatedly tested this zone in recent weeks but lacks the momentum for a decisive breakout. Until BTC clears $95,500 convincingly, the path to $100,000 remains speculative.

Market structure suggests a corrective phase rather than the beginnings of a fresh rally. Short-term levels show BTC oscillating between $87,900 support and $91,600 resistance—a compression reflecting trader indecision. While a break above $91,600 could signal temporary upside, it wouldn't constitute trend reversal confirmation.

The risk of another downward move lingers as buyers fail to demonstrate sustained strength. Traders await either a clean breakout above resistance or a deeper retracement that could establish stronger footing for future gains.

TeraWulf (WULF) Shares Surge 7.7% Amid Analyst Upgrades Despite Earnings Miss

TeraWulf's stock rallied sharply on Friday, climbing 7.7% to $13.88 as trading volumes remained subdued at 14.55 million shares—below the 21.51 million average. The move erased a three-day losing streak, with the cryptocurrency miner now trading comfortably above both its 50-day ($13.20) and 200-day ($10.98) moving averages.

Analyst sentiment appears divided yet leans bullish. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods upgraded WULF to 'outperform' with a $24 target, citing its pivot from Bitcoin mining to high-performance computing. Needham maintained its $21 price target, while the consensus sits at $19.15—implying significant upside. Notably, director Michael Bucella bolstered confidence with a November purchase of 4,178 shares at $12.01 each.

Beneath the technical strength lies fundamental turbulence. The company posted a staggering -$1.13 EPS versus -$0.04 estimates, with revenue of $50.6M also missing projections. Weiss Ratings' persistent 'Sell' (D-) recommendation underscores lingering concerns, though the market appears focused on TeraWulf's strategic repositioning.

Market Shifts as Bitcoin Dips Below $90K; DeepSnitch AI Presale Gains Momentum

Bitcoin's recent decline below $90,000 has sparked debate among analysts, with some attributing the drop to long-term holder sell-offs rather than quantum computing fears. Glassnode analyst James Check dismisses quantum concerns as unsubstantiated, pointing instead to profit-taking by long-term investors as the primary driver.

Meanwhile, retail investors are increasingly turning to early-stage presales, with DeepSnitch AI emerging as a standout. The project, which leverages five AI agents to analyze on-chain metrics and predict sentiment shifts, has raised $1.30M ahead of its late January launch. Its trader-centric utility is drawing attention away from majors like BTC.

TradFi figures remain cautious, however. Jefferies strategist Christopher Wood recently removed Bitcoin from his Fear and Greed portfolio, citing quantum risks as a long-term concern.

BitGo's IPO Euphoria Fades as Shares Tumble Below Offer Price

BitGo Holdings, the first publicly traded pure-play crypto custody business, debuted on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker BTGO with shares priced at $18. The stock initially surged 25% on its opening day, only to reverse gains and close at $14.50—a 21% decline from the IPO price. Profit-taking and limited public float exacerbated the volatility, with shares dropping as much as 13.4% during Friday's session.

The company raised $212 million in its IPO and holds $90 billion in assets under custody, including 2,369 BTC. VanEck projects a potential 65% upside to $26.50 if Bitcoin surpasses $120,000. Over 80% of BitGo's revenue comes from sticky service businesses like custody and staking, positioning it as a bellwether for institutional crypto adoption.

Binance’s CZ Predicts Bitcoin Supercycle by 2026 Amid Global Policy Shifts

Changpeng Zhao, founder of Binance, forecasts a potential disruption to Bitcoin's traditional four-year cycle, citing unprecedented pro-crypto policies in the United States and worldwide. Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Zhao emphasized that 2026 could mark a "supercycle" for Bitcoin, diverging from historical patterns tied to halving events.

Global regulatory momentum is accelerating asset tokenization initiatives, with Zhao actively collaborating with a dozen nations. The Binance CEO separately denied any business or personal connections with former US President Donald Trump, redirecting focus to macroeconomic catalysts for crypto adoption.

MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Bet Delivers 1,202% Return Since 2020

Michael Saylor's audacious Bitcoin strategy has yielded a staggering 1,202% return since August 2020, dramatically outperforming Bitcoin's 650% appreciation during the same period. The MicroStrategy CEO has transformed his enterprise software company into what analysts now call "a Bitcoin proxy" through relentless accumulation of the cryptocurrency.

MicroStrategy's treasury holds 709,715 BTC worth $63.1 billion at current prices, representing a 17% unrealized profit. The company's stock (MSTR) has become a market darling, eclipsing returns from tech stocks, bonds, and even Bitcoin-focused ETFs. This performance stems from Saylor's conviction that Bitcoin represents "the ultimate exit strategy from fiat currency debasement."

Yet risks loom. The strategy's sustainability hinges on Bitcoin maintaining its upward trajectory. Should BTC fail to reach the psychologically critical $100,000 threshold this market cycle, MicroStrategy could face significant downside pressure. The company's debt-fueled Bitcoin acquisitions—totaling $6 billion in convertible notes—create additional exposure if crypto winter returns.

Market observers remain divided. Bulls view Saylor as a visionary who recognized Bitcoin's institutional potential before Wall Street. Bears see a dangerous gamble that conflates corporate strategy with cryptocurrency evangelism. As one fund manager quipped: "When your treasury becomes your product, you're either a genius or a cautionary tale—time will tell which."

Bitcoin Underperforms Amid Broad Market Rally Post-Trump Election Win

Bitcoin's lackluster performance stands in stark contrast to surging traditional markets following Donald Trump's November 2024 presidential victory. While silver skyrocketed 205%, gold gained 83%, and major indices posted double-digit gains, BTC slipped 2.6% - reigniting debates about crypto's role in diversified portfolios.

The quantum computing theory advanced by Castle Island Ventures' Nic Carter fails to convince most analysts. "Blaming price stagnation on quantum threats resembles crying manipulation at every dip," observes Checkonchain's @Checkmatey, who attributes market movements primarily to supply dynamics and investor positioning.

Unusually heavy selling by long-term holders through 2025 created sustained downward pressure, compounding Bitcoin's underperformance against both risk assets and safe havens. This divergence challenges prevailing narratives about BTC's correlation with traditional markets during periods of political uncertainty.

Coinbase Foresees Strengthened Crypto Markets Post-Q4 2025 Reset

Coinbase Institutional's latest analysis suggests crypto markets are entering 2026 on firmer footing after a structural reset in late 2025. The Q4 drawdown eliminated excessive leverage, creating healthier conditions for Bitcoin and other digital assets.

Onchain metrics reveal a notable shift in investor behavior—reduced panic selling and more disciplined positioning across derivatives markets. "Our outlook is constructive," says David Duong, Coinbase's global head of investment research, noting that while leverage-induced volatility persists, the market now demonstrates greater resilience.

Macroeconomic risks appear priced in, with fewer knee-jerk reactions to external shocks. This stability stems from balanced derivatives activity and the flushing out of speculative excess during last quarter's correction.

GameStop Moves All Bitcoin to Coinbase Prime, Sparking Sell-Off Speculation

GameStop has transferred its entire Bitcoin treasury—4,710 BTC worth approximately $421 million—to Coinbase Prime, a platform favored by institutional traders for large-scale transactions. The move, executed in a single transaction, has ignited market speculation about an impending sell-off.

The video game retailer originally acquired the Bitcoin in May 2025 at an average price of $107,900 per coin, totaling $504.4 million. At current prices near $89,400, the holdings reflect an unrealized loss exceeding $80 million. Market observers note the timing coincides with Bitcoin's prolonged price stagnation.

Once ranked among the top 25 corporate Bitcoin holders globally, GameStop built its crypto treasury following strategic discussions between CEO Ryan Cohen and MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor. The company maintained its position through months of market volatility before this decisive transfer.

Will BTC Price Hit 90000?

Based on the provided technical and sentiment data, a move back to $90,000 is a plausible near-term scenario, but not a guaranteed immediate outcome.

Technically, BTC is currently below $90K at ~$89,332. The path upward faces immediate resistance at the 20-day Moving Average (MA) of $92,244. A successful break and hold above this level would be a strong technical signal for a sustained move toward and beyond $90K. Key support to watch is the lower Bollinger Band near $87,243; holding this level is crucial for maintaining bullish structure.

Fundamentally, the market sentiment provides a supportive backdrop. Long-term predictions (like CZ's supercycle) and proven institutional success stories (MicroStrategy) build a solid floor of confidence. However, recent underperformance and sell-off speculation highlight near-term headwinds that need to be absorbed.

Summary Table:

"The $90K level is more psychological than technical at this point," says Michael. "The real battle is at the 20-day MA around $92.2K. If buying pressure from the current support zone converges with a shift in short-term news flow, a reclaim of $90K could happen swiftly, acting as a stepping stone toward the next resistance. Monitor the reaction at the $87.2K support and the MACD for early signs of this shift."